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I haven’t posted here in a long while and I’m not sure if I will again or not. I guess I’ve decided I don’t have much to say that others can say better. Part of it is simple disgust with the American political system. There doesn’t seem like either party speaks for me. President Obama has been a huge disappointment. He’s so anxious to compromise its hard to know what he stands for. He’s marginally better than the Republicans, but not by much. Maybe I’ll comeback here as the election draws nearer, who knows.

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How We Got Here

Here’s a great graphic from the NY Time showing where the debt came from:

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Imagine we’re in a boat with a slow leak. One passenger is trying to bail out water. The other passenger complains that it’s not being done fast enough. Rather than help bail, the 2nd passenger decides the best way to motivate faster work is to punch a larger hole in the boat.

Expenditures, as a percent of GDP, has been 23-24%, while taxes have been about 14%. The math is not partisan. If there’s a genuine interest in closing that gap by the party of fiscal irresponsibility, the same party that created the structural deficits, then raising revenue has to be part of it. I honestly don’t believe the GOP has any real interest in doing anything about the deficit. They insisted since Reagan that deficits don’t matter. Their real interest is in getting rid of what they view as an illegitimate President, while reducing programs they’ve always hated. If it takes tanking the economy, so be it.

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This is what passes for fiscal conservatism today:

Faced with the very real possibility of default less than seven days away, the current favorite GOP talking point presents President Obama as a politically calculating fear-monger, trying to scare old people and markets with tales of what will happen if we don’t raise the debt ceiling. The markets are less sentimental. Math doesn’t have a partisan spin and you can’t convince creditors that refusing to pay your bills is a brave stand for fiscal responsibility.

via Debt Ceiling Crisis: Boehner’s Hypocritical Response – The Daily Beast.

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Ezra, ever so carefully and politely takes apart the “stimulus didn’t work” meme:

Plenty of conservatives are peeking at this morning’s grim GDP numbers, as well as the downward revisions to previous years, and concluding that the stimulus clearly must have failed. “But remember,” snarks James Pethokoukis, “no matter how bad the economy is, Obama stimulus still created 3 million jobs, right?”

That’s one way to look at it. Another is to dig a little deeper into the new GDP numbers, which tell a different story. As Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi told me this morning, the revisions suggest that the recession following the financial crisis was much, much more severe than we’d thought—the economy actually shrank at a 7.8 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2008 and first quarter of 2009, not 5.9 percent as originally believed.

Then, Congress passed the stimulus bill, the fall in growth dwindled to 0.7 percent in the second quarter, and, by the third quarter of 2009, we had 1.7 percent growth. “We went from negative to positive at precisely the time that the stimulus was providing maximum benefit in terms of tax cuts and spending increases,” Zandi says. “The numbers actually reinforce the importance of the stimulus in jump-starting a recovery.” What the stimulus didn’t do, however, was raise employment to the levels that the White House had predicted — partly because the economy was in worse shape than anyone, even the official data-crunchers, knew.

Of course, the stimulus only lasted two years, winding down in the end of 2010. And what happened then? As Dean Baker, an economist at the Center on Economic and Policy Research observes, “The downward revision to the first quarter data coupled with the revision of the fourth quarter growth to 2.3 percent from 3.1 percent, suggests that the winding down of the stimulus has seriously dampened growth.”

via What the new GDP numbers tell us about stimulus – Ezra Klein – The Washington Post.

As many noted at the time, the stimulus was too small to do the job. It was too small because Republicans insisted it be that way and weighed it down with 40% tax cuts.

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It seems to me that the GOP concern that any tax increases will kill the economic recovery is just a wee bit odd. At the same time they insist that we need to cut billions from federal spending. I suspect I’m not the first to notice, but the economic impact from a tax increase is probably less than the economic impact from a spending cut. Cutting spending in the face of a faltering recovery will lead to more job losses, not less, We’re at historically low level of taxation as a percentage of the economy. We’re also at historically high levels of income inequality.

We need a tax increase on the wealthy, support for American jobs and a common sense trade policy that doesn’t place corporate profits before American workers. We need to end the wars we’ve already started and to avoid other bottomless commitments of blood and treasure. We need to stop imprisoning more of are population than any other western democracy. We need to end the war on drugs.

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Same Stuff Different Day

Corporate Cash Con – NYTimes.com.

As Krugman says we’ve ready seen this movie. Let corporations avoid taxes on foreign revenue and they’ll do what they did before, which does not include creating jobs here.   I know why politicians believe it, they”re paid to. The puzzling part is is why voters still believe it.

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YouTube – The Truth About the Economy.

Robert Reich gets to the heart of the causes of ever increasing income inequality and the squeezing of the middle class. I’d add one other piece to it: trade policy.

If India applies a 40% import duty and China has a 20% rate, we should do exactly the same thing to their imports into this country. We don’t and allow them to dump goods in our markets. At some point we have to decide if cheap imports are worth the loss of American jobs.

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The result of this concerted campaign of disinformation is a viewership that knows almost nothing about what’s going on in the world. According to recent polls, Fox News viewers are the most misinformed of all news consumers. They are 12 percentage points more likely to believe the stimulus package caused job losses, 17 points more likely to believe Muslims want to establish Shariah law in America, 30 points more likely to say that scientists dispute global warming, and 31 points more likely to doubt President Obama’s citizenship. In fact, a study by the University of Maryland reveals, ignorance of Fox viewers actually increases the longer they watch the network. That’s because Ailes isn’t interested in providing people with information, or even a balanced range of perspectives. Like his political mentor, Richard Nixon, Ailes traffics in the emotions of victimization.

How Roger Ailes Built the Fox News Fear Factory

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What a complete and utter douche bag Santorum is. I’m not a big McCain fan because he’s managed to reverse himself on every policy I agreed with him on, save his position on the use of torture.

Santorum: What does McCain know about torture? – War Room – Salon.com.

John McCain has been on something of a crusade this week on the question of how we found Osama bin Laden, giving speeches and writing Op-Eds outlining his position that it was not torture of detainees that led the U.S. to its man.

Now comes presidential candidate and “enhanced interrogation” supporter Rick Santorum arguing on Hugh Hewitt’s radio show that McCain simply “doesn’t understand how enhanced interrogation works.” Yes, he’s talking about the same John McCain who, in his five and a half years as a prisoner of war in North Vietnam, was interrogated during a program of beatings and torture.

Torture is always and everywhere wrong. In my mind, it’s a bright line that separates the good guys from the bad guys. I can’t see how anyone with a conscience can come to any other conclusion.

I know right and wrong when I see it. I know I have a moral center, I don’t think people like Santorum do.  I believe this disqualifies him from consideration for any position of power, let alone President. He deserves nothing but scorn.

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Comedians everywhere despair. Oh well, there’s always Michelle Bachman for comedic relief…

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The GOP vs Seniors

Seniors, Guns and Money – Paul Krugman – NYTimes.com
Krugman on the attempt by the GOP to try shame Democrats into not saying that their attempt to dismantle Medicare is, in fact an attempt to dismantle Medicare.

But the Democrats aren’t engaging in scare tactics, they’re simply telling the truth. Policy details aside, the G.O.P.’s rigid anti-tax position also makes it, necessarily, the enemy of the senior-oriented programs that account for much of federal spending. And that’s something voters ought to know.

After the GOP’s utterly mendacious “death panels” attack on health care reform, there’s no reason to do anything different. The truth is what it is. If the budget is to be balanced, the unwillingness to raise taxes or cut defense spending significantly means that programs for the elderly will have to bear the brunt of cuts. The rest of the budget is small potatoes. It’s not a partisan statement, it’s simple math.

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If All the Atheists Left the U SA… [PIC].

If All the Atheists Left the USA...

Conclusion: Following Jesus leads to prison? I knew there was some reason I don’t like going to church…

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This is just sad…

It’s better to have McJob, rather than no job, but it doesn’t bode well for the nation’s future. “The Hollowing Out of the Middle Class” sounds about right.

How the McEconomy Bombed the American Worker

The Hollowing Out of the Middle Class

By Andy Kroll

Think of it as a parable for these grim economic times. On April 19th, McDonald’s launched its first-ever national hiring day, signing up 62,000 new workers at stores throughout the country. For some context, that’s more jobs created by one company in a single day than the net job creation of the entire U.S. economy in 2009. And if that boggles the mind, consider how many workers applied to local McDonald’s franchises that day and left empty-handed: 938,000 of them. With a 6.2% acceptance rate in its spring hiring blitz, McDonald’s was more selective than the Princeton, Stanford, or Yale University admission offices.

via Tomgram: Andy Kroll, Welcome to the McJobs Recovery | TomDispatch.

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Justice is expensive

My favorite quote this week:

“Justice is expensive. That is why there’s so little of it, and that reserved for those few with the money and influence to afford it.”

Black Powder War – Naomi Novik (Yes, I’m ashamed to admin that I read alternative history/fantasy of the Napoleonic Wars with dragons.)

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Is everyone OK with the President unilaterally marking a US citizen for death?

Yesterday, riding a wave of adulation and military-reverence, the Obama administration tried to end the life of this American citizen — never charged with, let alone convicted of, any crime — with a drone strike in Yemen, but missed and killed two other people instead:

A missile strike from an American military drone in a remote region of Yemen on Thursday was aimed at killing Anwar al-Awlaki, the radical American-born cleric believed to be hiding in the country, American officials said Friday.

The attack does not appear to have killed Mr. Awlaki, the officials said, but may have killed operatives of Al Qaeda’s affiliate in Yemen.

The other people killed “may have” been Al Qaeda operatives. Or they “may not have” been. Who cares? They’re mere collateral damage on the glorious road to ending the life of this American citizen without due process (and pointing out that the Fifth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution expressly guarantees that “no person shall be deprived of life without due process of law” — and provides no exception for war — is the sort of tedious legalism that shouldn’t interfere with the excitement of drone strikes).

There are certain civil liberties debates where, even though I hold strong opinions, I can at least understand the reasoning and impulses of those who disagree; the killing of bin Laden was one such instance. But the notion that the President has the power to order American citizens assassinated without an iota of due process — far from any battlefield, not during combat — is an idea so utterly foreign to me, so far beyond the bounds of what is reasonable, that it’s hard to convey in words or treat with civility.

How do you even engage someone in rational discussion who is willing to assume that their fellow citizen is guilty of being a Terrorist without seeing evidence for it, without having that evidence tested, without giving that citizen a chance to defend himself — all because the President declares it to be so? “I know Awlaki, my fellow citizen, is a Terrorist and he deserves to die. Why? Because the President decreed that, and that’s good enough for me. Trials are so pre-9/11.” If someone is willing to dutifully click their heels and spout definitively authoritarian anthems like that, imagine how impervious to reason they are on these issues.

I’m not squeamish, these guys need to die, but if it’s not on a battlefield, then we have process for this as broadly defined in our Constitution. Something about not depriving citizen of life or liberty without due process. Is that just words? Does it have any real world meaning? Or is it just empty platitudes for the chumps?

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the GOP promises to block any nominee to the new Consumer Protection Agency, until the agency is stripped of authority to do anything significant.

Democrats should seize this opportunity and strike while the iron is hot, just as they did in standing up to Walker, Kasich, and Ryan. Being willing to stand tall and fight back against those unpopular right-wing policies, and the moneymen behind them like the Koch brothers, has already paid off enormously for Democrats. Just think how picking a fight with the most unpopular entity in America (now that Osama bin Laden is dead) –the big banks on Wall Street — could help them politically. The President should immediately announce he is appointing Elizabeth Warren as director of the CFPB, and when the next recess comes, immediately put her in as a recess appointment. There is no longer any reason not to, because the Republicans gave us our opening: if they are going to oppose anyone no matter how weak in that job, there is no reason to offer a compromise candidate. Obama should just give it to the person who would be the best director, which Elizabeth would clearly be. Having a big blow-up with Republicans, with us fighting for consumers and homeowners and them fighting for the banks, would be a great political fight to have.

They really have taken away any reason not to go the recess appointment route. Since compromise is precluded what’s the point of negotiation? My fear is that Obama will resume his pattern of pre-emptive negotiation with himself and roll over and give the GOP what it wants. Sometimes you have to make a stand, this is one of those times. Banks are afraid of the CPA which means it has the potential to actually be effective.

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Lee presses balanced budget vote with debt ceiling – On Congress – POLITICO.com.

This brings to mind an obvious question: So what will happen if we find ourselves in another crisis like the one that precipitated the bailout in 2008? The GOP has actively undermined financial regulation legislation. Their efforts will have the effect of ensuring future crises will be more frequent and more damaging.

If there’s a balanced budget amendment it will tie the hands of the federal government and prevent it from trying to fill void left by lax private demand. Instead of a bailout and recession we’ll have a full scale depression instead. Why do they insist on repeating the mistakes of the past? We’ve been down this road and we know where it leads.

Bread lines during the Great Depression.

If I hear another politician blather about how the federal budget is like a family budget I’m going to scream. It’s not even apples to oranges, it’s more like comparing apples to the moon. Like many other things politician say it’s designed to stoke up resentment and make people think “I have to balance my budget, the federal government should too”. We already have a clear example of how that worked in the picture above.

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Claim: Krugman is top prognosticator; Cal Thomas is the worst | Poynter..

A Hamilton College class and their public policy professor analyzed the predicts of 26 pundits — including Sunday morning TV talkers — and used a scale of 1 to 5 to rate their accuracy. After Paul Krugman, the most accurate pundits were Maureen Dowd, former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell, U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY), and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. “The Bad” list includes Thomas Friedman, Clarence Page, and Bob Herbert

…Those scoring lowest – “The Ugly” – with negative tallies were conservative columnist Cal Thomas; U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC); U.S. Senator Carl Levin (D-MI); U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman, a McCain supporter and Democrat-turned-Independent from Connecticut; Sam Donaldson of ABC; and conservative columnist George Will.

It is odd that those who get the most TV facetime are the least accurate. You’d think there was some kind of plot to intentionally mislead the public. That’s impossible, isn’t it? Isn’t it!!??

 

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It’s becoming pretty clear how Republicans plan to defend their budget. They’re going to lie about it.

via How Will Republicans Defend Medicare Cuts In The Ryan Budget? Lie About Them. Marco Rubio Shows How. | The New Republic.

I’d like to be shocked and appalled by behavior like that, but it’s been the standard go-to play in the GOP for way too long to be surprised.

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